Table 4 Risk factors for recurrence of alcoholic acute pancreatitis

Pelli [52]

Age < 45 years: OR = 2.42, 95% CI [1.66, 3.35]

PaO2 > 60 mmHg: OR = 9.90, 95% CI [1.32, 74.5]

0–2 positive Glasgow criteria: OR = 2.45, 95% CI [1.16, 5.19]

No pulmonary complications: OR = 10.92, 95% CI [0.64, 185.8]

Pelli [53]

Use of other sedatives before the first attack: HR = 6.95, 95% CI [2.45, 19.72]

Smaller reduction in SADD score during 2-year follow-up (smaller decrease in dependence): HR: 0.92; 95%(CI): 0.87–0.97; p-value: 0.004

Continued alcohol consumption after the first episode: HR: 1.08; 95%(CI): 1.00–1.17/each AUDIT point; p-value: 0.04

Higher dependence measured by SADD at 2-year follow-up: HR: 1.03; 95%(CI): 1.01–1.25/each SADD point; p-value: 0.008

Total abstinence from alcohol after the first episode

Pelli [54]

Chronic pseudocyst at 2 years: OR = 20.0, 95% CI [1.83, 219]

Elevated levels of glycated hemoglobin (> 6.5 mmol/l): OR = 5.48, 95% CI [1.04, 29.0]

Nieto [55]

Private health insurance: HR: 0.79; 95%(CI): 0.64–0.97;

CCI score \(\ge\) 3: aHR = 1.53, 95% CI = [1.21, 1.93]

CCI score = 2: aHR = 1.27, 95% CI = [1.03, 1.55]

Chronic alcoholic pancreatitis: aHR = 1.64, 95% CI [1.40, 1.91]

Other chronic pancreatitis: aHR = 2.14, 95% CI [1.63, 2.81]

Sissingh [56]

Presence of gallstones: OR = 2.71, 95% CI [1.47, 4.97]

Cholecystectomy: RR = 0.47, 95% CI [0.21, 1.06]